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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies
93
18Pistons
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.9
36
30
19
12
4
1
1
2
6
2
10
1-2
50%
9-18
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
35
31
21
16
1
0
1
0
1
7
9
1-4
25%
10-18
6-13
56%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
29
27
11
1
8
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
3-7
3-8
43%
46%
1-6
17%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
25
28
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-8
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
22
14
4
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.8
30
22
8
11
3
0
1
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.2
29
28
14
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
19
20
5
0
2
1
1
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.5
15
17
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.9
14
0
1-2
40%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.6
5
0
0-1
40%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
5
0
1-1
60%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.5
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
37
32
16
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.3
37
27
18
19
2
3
1
2
6
7
12
2-5
40%
8-15
6-11
53%
55%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
35
34
9
2
0
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
48%
1-6
17%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
34
23
7
7
3
1
1
3
1
3
4
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.6
32
27
18
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.5
17
22
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.8
16
17
11
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
2-4
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
13
22
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-3
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
12
17
6
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
7
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
5
0
1-1
45%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
3
0
0-0
44%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
2
0
0-0
52%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.