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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs60%10194
10Raptors40%9797
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
34
25
13
7
1
0
0
1
3
3
4
5-6
83%
4-9
5-12
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
30
21
4
4
3
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
27
32
7
6
2
1
2
1
2
3
3
0-1
0%
2-6
6-11
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
21
24
10
4
1
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
20
25
8
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
25
14
17
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
6-8
75%
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
1-6
17%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
22
18
3
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
18
18
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
17
11
10
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
15
14
8
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
12
19
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
0
11
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
13
0
1-2
44%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
37
35
28
4
6
1
1
1
6
1
3
8-8
100%
10-15
6-15
67%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.7
37
36
19
5
8
1
2
0
4
0
5
6-6
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.6
33
18
16
8
1
1
0
0
2
1
7
0-1
0%
8-13
3-6
62%
45%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.8
27
25
6
3
0
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.3
26
24
10
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-1
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.7
34
26
10
4
1
3
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
30
29
6
0
4
3
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
16
11
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
27
1
3-5
49%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.4
17
1
2-4
48%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.5
3
0
0-1
40%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
40%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.