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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2015
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hawks
98
7Mavericks
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.5
37
31
14
8
4
2
1
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
54%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.8
36
32
20
11
5
3
2
1
1
2
9
6-9
67%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.7
33
31
8
1
2
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-6
17%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.5
32
31
14
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
47%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
26
31
7
6
2
0
2
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.4
23
25
12
8
2
0
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.2
18
17
11
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
0-0
-
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.3
12
9
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
12
8
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
11
16
8
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.4
13
0
2-3
52%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.7
3
0
0-1
45%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.6
3
0
0-1
46%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.8
38
28
11
17
1
1
1
0
2
7
10
3-4
75%
4-5
3-7
80%
47%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
36
35
18
7
6
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
6-13
4-8
46%
45%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
36
34
17
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
49%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.5
31
30
13
8
2
3
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
5-12
5-10
42%
50%
1-8
13%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
30
33
11
6
5
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
23
13
14
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
6-7
86%
4-9
2-4
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
21
18
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
52%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.8
11
16
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
10
18
0
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.3
5
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.1
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
11
0
1-2
51%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
5
0
1-2
54%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.