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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 11, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
111
24Magic
76
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
29
33
25
3
8
4
1
0
4
0
3
5-8
63%
10-14
8-14
71%
53%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.3
28
29
8
13
6
2
1
0
0
3
10
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
24
33
12
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
40%
2-3
67%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
23
23
6
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.4
20
12
17
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
8-9
2-3
89%
52%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.5
25
26
14
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
2-3
67%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.0
24
20
5
5
4
0
0
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.7
20
23
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
18
7
15
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
34%
4-8
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.5
13
22
3
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.2
10
8
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
28
1
2-4
44%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.3
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
22
33
14
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
5-9
8-15
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.8
20
32
9
3
2
1
2
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
5-11
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
17
28
5
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
17
31
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
12
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
31
11
6
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
23
19
8
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.8
21
7
12
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
20
2
6
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
1-2
0-0
50%
54%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
19
13
3
0
5
1
0
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
19
29
4
4
1
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
19
12
9
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.