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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 12, 2015
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers73%112105
28Nets27%104100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 26.7
34.6
32.6
21
53%
9
4
1
1
0
3
1
8
1-2
50%
10-18
8-16
56%
52%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
33.6
35.3
12
69%
12
1
2
1
0
0
2
10
2-6
33%
5-6
4-6
83%
68%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
31.3
31.5
15
46%
2
14
3
2
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.5
27.3
25.5
21
75%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
4-6
67%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.3
16.2
16.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 35.7
25.4
23.8
9
56%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
44%
1-4
25%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.4
18.0
17.8
5
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
17.2
17.3
6
60%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.2
12.7
6.6
10
83%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.0
12.2
14.8
6
33%
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
11.6
14.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.6
4.7
0
0-0
48%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.1
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
38.7
28.7
15
59%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5-6
83%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
37.2
29.9
16
57%
5
11
1
1
0
3
0
5
7-9
78%
3-6
3-8
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
35.7
32.3
18
56%
5
0
1
2
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
9-16
7-13
56%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
35.6
34.9
15
50%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
31.6
27.8
14
55%
12
0
1
1
1
5
8
4
4-4
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
51%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
17.5
13.1
7
40%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.1
13.8
13.3
11
60%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
10.0
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
7.3
8.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
6.4
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
6.1
22.6
2
100%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.7
0.1
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.1
2.5
0
0-0
45%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 20.9
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.