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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 12, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pacers
96
16Pistons
118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
34
36
13
6
3
1
2
0
4
0
6
5-7
71%
4-12
5-12
33%
46%
0-4
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.6
32
31
14
8
3
0
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
49%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
24
33
11
1
3
2
2
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
24
32
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.1
22
29
9
2
1
0
1
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-4
3-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.4
26
15
8
7
3
0
0
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.6
23
26
10
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-8
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
22
13
4
3
0
3
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.6
15
15
9
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
12
3
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.7
6
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.7
4
0
1-1
48%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
37
35
18
7
8
4
1
1
1
2
5
6-6
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
30
33
16
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
2-4
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
29
26
20
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-9
2-5
78%
48%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.3
28
31
8
11
1
1
1
2
2
3
8
0-2
0%
4-11
7-14
36%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.7
26
29
21
3
9
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
48%
2-4
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.5
25
18
11
4
2
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-5
20%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.8
19
16
11
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
3-4
75%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
16
15
6
7
1
0
0
1
2
2
5
4-6
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
16
20
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
3
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.