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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic52%105105
28Nets48%10482
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.8
29.8
27.3
17
62%
5
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
5-10
4-10
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
27.8
28.6
18
65%
6
4
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
8-13
7-13
62%
52%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
25.6
25.6
15
66%
9
3
0
1
0
0
0
9
0-1
0%
6-7
3-7
86%
51%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
23.6
23.4
3
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
23.3
15.3
11
92%
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
3-5
60%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
24.7
20.5
15
76%
3
0
2
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-4
3-5
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
22.4
19.1
4
46%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
20.4
25.1
10
89%
2
2
3
1
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-1
4-8
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.8
18.2
12.1
8
80%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
16.1
14.6
4
29%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
4.1
15.5
0
0%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
4.1
9.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
34.3
33.1
10
45%
11
2
1
2
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
5-10
7-14
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
33.9
32.2
10
63%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
32.3
29.3
11
33%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
4-15
7-13
27%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
26.4
34.7
6
38%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
26.3
32.3
15
67%
5
7
0
1
0
3
0
5
4-5
80%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.1
20.4
13.3
12
64%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
20.2
10.6
11
59%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
2-4
50%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
19.0
15.6
2
20%
4
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
10.0
14.8
3
61%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
4.9
7.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.7
4.1
4.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
4.1
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.1
4.1
2.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 20.9
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.