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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat33%99100
9Hawks67%10588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.7
36.2
32.7
24
76%
10
3
0
1
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
4-6
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
35.9
31.5
18
68%
9
4
2
1
0
1
1
8
3-3
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
34.7
31.1
12
43%
7
8
2
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
6-12
4-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.9
29.1
29.8
7
21%
6
6
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
3-15
7-15
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
25.9
23.6
8
34%
13
0
0
1
3
2
5
8
0-2
0%
4-11
4-7
36%
58%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
31.4
29.2
20
69%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
8-12
3-6
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
19.2
9.4
9
77%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
14.8
7.4
2
53%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.7
12.7
26.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
6.3
0
0-1
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
4.4
0
1-2
51%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.4
2.3
0
0-0
56%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.5
39.6
24.5
28
72%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
8-11
3-5
73%
49%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.8
37.0
31.1
18
61%
9
2
0
2
0
2
3
6
6-6
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.5
35.5
29.9
13
54%
4
5
2
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
5-9
71%
54%
1-5
20%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.7
33.1
29.0
5
21%
8
2
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
1-8
13%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.5
28.4
27.9
7
27%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-9
4-8
11%
48%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.2
26.2
18.5
13
55%
4
7
4
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
12.6
12.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
10.4
17.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
9.4
25.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-3
0%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.3
7.8
11.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.4
6.5
0
1-1
53%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.7
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.6
4.9
0
1-1
47%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.7
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.