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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz19%9181
2Spurs81%103118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.4
24.1
34.8
16
48%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
6-14
7-14
43%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.1
23.2
31.2
4
25%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.7
22.1
35.0
4
34%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
44%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.6
21.4
9.4
12
86%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
36%
2-2
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.1
19.4
20.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.1
23.5
21.7
10
53%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.2
21.9
5.8
4
33%
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
21.3
23.8
4
50%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.8
20.3
11.3
9
67%
5
0
1
0
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.4
17.8
28.7
8
37%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
42%
0-0
-
Elijah Millsap
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.3
16.0
13.1
4
40%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
35%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.6
9.0
1.6
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
9.7
0
1-2
54%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.1
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
24.7
29.4
22
87%
7
2
2
2
0
0
0
7
6-6
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
54%
2-3
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
24.4
26.8
18
71%
8
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
6-6
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
21.1
24.1
18
87%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
52%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
20.5
21.1
4
40%
7
5
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
18.0
24.4
5
102%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
22.9
16.6
7
29%
4
4
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
48%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
20.0
18.4
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
17.6
6.1
10
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
16.6
13.4
6
77%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
15.8
13.2
8
49%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
14.9
21.6
11
92%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
12.0
8.4
1
57%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
11.7
15.0
4
41%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.