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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2015
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets57%109108
26Nuggets43%107114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
42
22
16
5
4
3
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
4-9
44%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
34
34
24
3
6
3
2
0
2
1
2
1-3
33%
4-12
5-11
33%
49%
5-8
63%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
34
27
14
1
8
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.0
33
30
13
8
0
4
1
1
4
1
7
1-2
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
58%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.9
13
22
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
22
14
19
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
3-4
75%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.5
21
17
13
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
3-4
75%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.8
16
21
5
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.1
13
21
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.2
13
9
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
23
1
4-7
55%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
2
0
0-1
44%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.2
40
21
21
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
4-4
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
48%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.8
37
28
10
5
7
0
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
2-6
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
32
37
15
5
7
2
1
0
2
0
5
6-7
86%
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
21
11
14
11
1
0
0
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
7-10
2-3
70%
50%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
20
30
11
9
1
0
1
2
1
5
4
1-2
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
54%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.9
33
31
23
9
3
3
1
0
2
2
7
5-5
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
22
18
9
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
14
1
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
12
13
3
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
9
12
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-3
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
10
0
2-3
51%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
9
0
1-3
46%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.