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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 17, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets64%112107
28Lakers36%10787
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
36
35
25
6
6
1
2
1
3
2
4
9-10
90%
5-15
5-11
33%
49%
2-9
22%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
36
31
13
5
4
3
2
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
29
31
13
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
28
15
10
12
1
2
1
4
1
7
5
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
56%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.0
26
30
16
15
1
0
1
2
1
9
6
10-18
56%
3-10
4-7
30%
59%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.9
21
16
16
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
19
17
8
4
2
0
0
0
3
2
2
1-4
25%
2-6
2-5
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.1
19
14
0
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.8
16
21
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.3
6
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.5
14
1
2-3
48%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 23.5
39
29
12
4
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
6-9
5-9
67%
50%
0-5
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37.3
32
27
22
8
3
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-7
29%
7-10
4-9
70%
47%
2-6
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.1
31
30
14
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
2-5
40%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
28
21
11
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.0
22
25
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 19.8
26
30
2
3
7
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-4
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.0
23
24
18
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
5-6
83%
5-14
5-9
36%
48%
1-1
100%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.5
22
19
2
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
16
20
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
9
0
1-1
47%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
5
0
1-1
51%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
4
0
0-1
43%
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 23.2
2
0
0-0
47%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.