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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks42%104109
7Celtics58%107101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.5
37
28
15
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.5
36
30
21
10
2
1
1
3
3
3
7
1-2
50%
10-17
5-9
59%
52%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.8
35
29
11
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.9
33
29
20
8
4
2
1
0
3
1
7
8-10
80%
6-10
4-9
60%
49%
0-3
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.5
20
26
6
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.3
28
22
22
0
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
19
20
11
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.0
18
13
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.4
9
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.4
5
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
12
0
1-3
51%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.7
6
0
1-1
46%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.7
5
0
0-1
44%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.7
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
37
30
24
10
0
0
1
0
3
1
9
5-5
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
3-7
43%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
35
34
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
33
33
29
1
6
2
1
0
5
0
1
14-15
93%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
3-5
60%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
24
24
10
8
3
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-6
33%
4-7
4-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
16
22
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
28
27
8
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
18
13
6
7
1
0
0
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-11
2-5
27%
51%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.1
18
4
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.8
16
11
0
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
15
20
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
1-1
100%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
12
0
1-1
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
6
0
1-2
53%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
1
0
0-0
43%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.