Final Win Prob. pScore
1341%99
108
1759%102
94
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
121.38988.7
MIA logo Heat
106.88888.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR108
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)106
94
Q4 - 0:50.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)106
94
Q4 - 0:57.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIABosh S.FOUL (P4.PN) (J.Phillips)104
94
Q4 - 1:03TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 1:12TORMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:23MIADeng P.FOUL (P2.T4) (L.Wood)104
94
Q4 - 1:25TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:26TORMISS Lowry 20' Pullup Jump Shot104
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 1:47TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 1:55TORBiyombo Dunk (5 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)104
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)102
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)102
98.2%
93
1.8%
Q4 - 2:14TORJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4) (L.Wood)102
92
Q4 - 2:25TORLowry 1' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)102
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 2:51TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)100
97.1%
92
2.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
96.6%
92
3.4%
Q4 - 3:04MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)100
92
Q4 - 3:04TORPatterson 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)100
95.1%
92
4.9%
Q4 - 3:07TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 3:08TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
90.8%
92
9.2%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T13)98
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 3:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)98
85.6%
92
14.4%
Q4 - 3:33MIASUB: Bosh FOR Whiteside97
92
Q4 - 3:33MIASUB: Dragic FOR Udrih97
92
Q4 - 3:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
84.9%
92
15.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T3) (L.Wood)96
92
Q4 - 3:49MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)96
81.5%
92
18.5%
Q4 - 4:07TORJohnson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)96
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 4:24TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)94
86.9%
89
13.1%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot94
85.5%
89
14.5%
Q4 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)94
81.6%
89
18.4%
Q4 - 4:38TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
83.5%
89
16.5%
Q4 - 5:02TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)94
83.2%
89
16.8%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot94
81.6%
89
18.4%
Q4 - 5:26MIASUB: Deng FOR Winslow94
89
Q4 - 5:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)94
89
Q4 - 5:26TORLowry 8' Hook Shot (15 PTS)94
77.9%
89
22.1%
Q4 - 5:36TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
72.3%
89
27.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
70.0%
89
30.0%
Q4 - 5:54TORDeRozan 13' Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)92
64.7%
89
35.3%
Q4 - 6:12MIAWade 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)90
55.9%
89
44.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)90
62.3%
87
37.7%
Q4 - 6:29TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 290
63.3%
87
36.7%
Q4 - 6:29TORSUB: Johnson FOR Ross90
87
Q4 - 6:29TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)90
68.1%
87
31.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAGreen S.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Phillips)89
87
Q4 - 6:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
63.2%
87
36.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
64.7%
86
35.3%
Q4 - 6:42TORRoss S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Phillips)89
85
Q4 - 6:57TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)89
69.1%
85
30.9%
Q4 - 7:04TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
73.4%
85
26.6%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Green Driving Layup89
71.6%
85
28.4%
Q4 - 7:22TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
67.2%
85
32.8%
Q4 - 7:22MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic88
85
Q4 - 7:22TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
66.3%
85
33.7%
Q4 - 7:22MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Boland)87
85
Q4 - 7:48MIAGreen 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
61.5%
85
38.5%
Q4 - 8:07TORDragic STEAL (1 STL)87
65.7%
83
34.3%
Q4 - 8:29MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Bosh87
83
Q4 - 8:29TORSUB: Biyombo FOR Joseph87
83
Q4 - 8:29TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Scola87
83
Q4 - 8:2987
83
Q4 - 8:29MIAGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)87
71.2%
83
28.8%
Q4 - 8:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
65.8%
83
34.2%
Q4 - 8:49TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
67.5%
83
32.5%
Q4 - 9:10MIAUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)87
69.7%
83
30.3%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
78.7%
80
21.3%
Q4 - 9:21TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
79.9%
80
20.1%
Q4 - 9:29TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
82.6%
80
17.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot87
81.4%
80
18.6%
Q4 - 9:39TORScola P.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Boland)87
80
Q4 - 9:54MIAWinslow Violation:Defensive Goaltending (J.Phillips)87
80
Q4 - 9:54TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)87
78.8%
80
21.2%
Q4 - 10:00MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)85
74.6%
80
25.4%
Q4 - 10:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
68.0%
80
32.0%
Q4 - 10:12TORMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot85
69.6%
80
30.4%
Q4 - 10:21TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
73.0%
80
27.0%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot85
71.6%
80
28.4%
Q4 - 10:43TORScola 1' Layup (20 PTS)85
68.1%
80
31.9%
Q4 - 10:44TORScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
63.3%
80
36.7%
Q4 - 10:45TORMISS Joseph 2' Driving Layup83
59.3%
80
40.7%
Q4 - 11:08TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
62.0%
80
38.0%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 283
61.3%
80
38.7%
Q4 - 11:09MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
57.9%
80
42.1%
Q4 - 11:09TORScola Shooting Block Foul (P2.T1) (J.Phillips)83
79
Q4 - 11:23TORScola 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)83
61.8%
79
38.2%
Q4 - 11:43MIABosh Driving Dunk (11 PTS)81
56.8%
79
43.2%
Q4 - 12:0081
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
61.9%
77
38.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound81
61.9%
77
38.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 40' 3PT Jump Shot81
65.5%
77
34.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORDeRozan 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS)81
60.8%
77
39.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)79
55.9%
77
44.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0TORBosh STEAL (1 STL)79
65.6%
74
34.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAGreen 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
70.1%
74
29.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0TORGreen STEAL (1 STL)79
74.3%
72
25.7%
Q3 - 1:01TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
76.5%
72
23.5%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
75.4%
72
24.6%
Q3 - 1:13TORJoseph P.FOUL (P2.T4) (M.Boland)79
72
Q3 - 1:28TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)79
72.8%
72
27.2%
Q3 - 1:34MIAUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)76
64.6%
72
35.4%
Q3 - 1:47TORDeRozan 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)76
59.8%
72
40.2%
Q3 - 2:06MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
54.0%
72
46.0%
Q3 - 2:06MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
55.4%
71
44.6%
Q3 - 2:06TORPatterson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (M.Boland)74
70
Q3 - 2:23TORJohnson 2' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)74
58.3%
70
41.7%
Q3 - 2:48MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)72
54.1%
70
45.9%
Q3 - 3:02TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
57.7%
68
42.3%
Q3 - 3:02TORSUB: Ross FOR Biyombo71
68
Q3 - 3:02TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
56.5%
68
43.5%
Q3 - 3:02MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T3) (L.Wood)70
68
Q3 - 3:19MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
53.6%
68
46.4%
Q3 - 3:19TORSUB: Joseph FOR Lowry70
67
Q3 - 3:19TORSUB: Patterson FOR Scola70
67
Q3 - 3:19MIASUB: Green FOR Wade70
67
Q3 - 3:19MIASUB: Bosh FOR Whiteside70
67
Q3 - 3:19MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic70
67
Q3 - 3:19MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
54.5%
67
45.5%
Q3 - 3:19TORScola S.FOUL (P1.T2) (L.Wood)70
66
Q3 - 3:39TORJohnson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)70
57.7%
66
42.3%
Q3 - 4:00TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
53.6%
66
46.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Bank Shot68
51.5%
66
48.5%
Q3 - 4:15MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
48.0%
66
52.0%
Q3 - 4:16TORWhiteside BLOCK (5 BLK)68
49.6%
66
50.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P7.T9)68
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)68
48.1%
66
51.9%
Q3 - 4:38TORMISS Scola 12' Step Back Jump Shot68
49.6%
66
50.4%
Q3 - 4:57TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
51.6%
66
48.4%
Q3 - 5:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
47.6%
66
52.4%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot68
50.8%
66
49.2%
Q3 - 5:21TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
47.7%
66
52.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Boland)66
66
Q3 - 5:47TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
44.0%
66
56.0%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup66
42.6%
66
57.4%
Q3 - 6:15TORScola 1' Layup (16 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)66
39.4%
66
60.6%
Q3 - 6:21MIASUB: Winslow FOR Bosh64
66
Q3 - 6:21TORRaptors Rebound64
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 6:22TORWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)64
33.3%
66
66.7%
Q3 - 6:27TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper64
34.9%
66
65.1%
Q3 - 6:54TORDeRozan 16' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)64
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 7:05TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
29.3%
66
70.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
28.2%
66
71.8%
Q3 - 7:21TORLowry P.FOUL (P2.T1) (L.Wood)62
66
Q3 - 7:34TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
25.8%
66
74.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAWade 4' Driving Bank Shot (15 PTS)60
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
64
Q3 - 8:01TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)60
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 8:11MIADeng P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Boland)57
64
Q3 - 8:18TORRaptors Rebound57
21.1%
64
78.9%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot57
20.2%
64
79.8%
Q3 - 8:37TORScola 12' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 8:49TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 29' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 9:20TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
14.8%
64
85.2%
Q3 - 9:32TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)53
64
Q3 - 9:33MIADragic 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)53
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 9:36TORDeng STEAL (1 STL)53
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
16.8%
62
83.2%
Q3 - 10:19TORJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)53
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)50
15.3%
60
84.7%
Q3 - 10:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
19.2%
57
80.8%
Q3 - 10:57TORMISS Lowry 21' Jump Shot50
19.9%
57
80.1%
Q3 - 11:14MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 11:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)50
24.3%
55
75.7%
Q3 - 11:37TORMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot50
25.1%
55
74.9%
Q3 - 12:0050
55
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound50
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Joseph 40' 3PT Jump Shot50
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T8)50
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
25.4%
55
74.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0TORMISS Lowry 21' Jump Shot50
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)50
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)50
52
Q2 - 0:31.0TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)50
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T7)47
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 247
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Bosh47
52
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
26.9%
52
73.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.PN) (L.Wood)46
52
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
24.6%
52
75.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORMISS Lowry 1' Driving Layup46
23.4%
52
76.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
24.6%
52
75.4%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot46
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q2 - 1:08TORSUB: Lowry FOR Scola46
52
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Bosh FOR Whiteside46
52
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Dragic FOR Udrih46
52
Q2 - 1:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
23.7%
52
76.3%
Q2 - 1:18TORMISS DeRozan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot46
24.0%
52
76.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAGreen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)46
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q2 - 2:05TORBiyombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)46
30.7%
49
69.3%
Q2 - 2:17TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot44
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)44
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 2:28TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec DeRozan ) (J.Phillips)44
48
Q2 - 2:39MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
28.2%
48
71.8%
Q2 - 2:40TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot44
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q2 - 2:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)44
48
Q2 - 2:54MIAUdrih P.FOUL (P2.T4) (L.Wood)44
48
Q2 - 3:12MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)44
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q2 - 3:12TORSUB: Ross FOR Johnson44
47
Q2 - 3:12TORJoseph S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Phillips)44
47
Q2 - 3:12MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)44
47
Q2 - 3:15MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
38.7%
44
61.3%
Q2 - 3:16TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWhiteside Violation:Kicked Ball (L.Wood)44
44
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
42.0%
44
58.0%
Q2 - 4:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
44.1%
42
55.9%
Q2 - 4:05TORSUB: Joseph FOR Lowry43
42
Q2 - 4:05TORRaptors Rebound43
42
Q2 - 4:05TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 243
43.7%
42
56.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAUdrih S.FOUL (P1.T3) (L.Wood)43
42
Q2 - 4:20MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)43
44.3%
42
55.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic43
39
Q2 - 4:26TORSUB: Johnson FOR Ross43
39
Q2 - 4:26MIAHEAT Rebound43
49.8%
39
50.2%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot43
52.0%
39
48.0%
Q2 - 4:41TORLowry 3' Layup (6 PTS)43
49.9%
39
50.1%
Q2 - 4:54TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
47.2%
39
52.8%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot41
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
45.0%
39
55.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)41
47.0%
39
53.0%
Q2 - 5:29TORDeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)39
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot39
51.7%
35
48.3%
Q2 - 5:58MIASUB: Deng FOR Bosh39
35
Q2 - 5:5839
35
Q2 - 6:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
49.0%
35
51.0%
Q2 - 6:09TORMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot39
50.1%
35
49.9%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)39
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 6:43TORRoss 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)39
54.5%
33
45.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWade 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)36
49.2%
33
50.8%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot36
53.6%
31
46.4%
Q2 - 7:15TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Joseph36
31
Q2 - 7:15TORSUB: Biyombo FOR Patterson36
31
Q2 - 7:15MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Haslem36
31
Q2 - 7:15MIASUB: Wade FOR Udrih36
31
Q2 - 7:15TORJoseph Violation:Kicked Ball (M.Boland)36
31
Q2 - 7:31TORRoss 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)36
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 7:42TORSUB: Scola FOR Johnson34
31
Q2 - 7:42TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
31
Q2 - 7:48MIABosh Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)34
49.3%
31
50.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
51.6%
29
48.4%
Q2 - 7:59TORMISS Johnson 1' Finger Roll Layup34
52.5%
29
47.5%
Q2 - 8:05TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
53.8%
29
46.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot34
53.0%
29
47.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
51.2%
29
48.8%
Q2 - 8:20TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)34
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q2 - 8:56TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)34
56.3%
27
43.7%
Q2 - 9:10TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
51.0%
27
49.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
50.1%
27
49.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 9:30TORMISS Johnson 2' Layup31
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson31
27
Q2 - 9:45MIARichardson L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) (L.Wood)31
27
Q2 - 9:45TORRaptors Rebound31
51.0%
27
49.0%
Q2 - 9:46TORRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q2 - 10:06MIAUdrih 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)31
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 10:25TORJohnson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)31
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 10:34TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
50.9%
25
49.1%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot29
50.0%
25
50.0%
Q2 - 10:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q2 - 10:50TORMISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.8%
25
51.2%
Q2 - 11:06TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot29
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 11:20TORLowry 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)29
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 11:28MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 11:45TORRoss Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q2 - 11:53MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Phillips)27
25
Q2 - 12:0027
25
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR27
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound27
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot27
43.6%
25
56.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Haslem 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Green 6' Jump Shot27
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAGreen P.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Boland)25
25
Q1 - 0:54.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0TORPatterson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (L.Wood)25
23
Q1 - 1:11TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIASUB: Richardson FOR Deng24
23
Q1 - 1:11MIASUB: Haslem FOR Whiteside24
23
Q1 - 1:11TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q1 - 1:11MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.PN) (L.Wood)23
23
Q1 - 1:20TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
40.1%
23
59.9%
Q1 - 1:21TORWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)23
39.0%
23
61.0%
Q1 - 1:28TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.1%
23
59.9%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup23
39.6%
23
60.4%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 1:47TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.0%
23
61.0%
Q1 - 1:55MIASUB: Bosh FOR Winslow23
23
Q1 - 1:55MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic23
23
Q1 - 1:55MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P3.T4) (L.Wood)23
23
Q1 - 2:02TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q1 - 2:03TORMISS DeRozan 7' Hook Shot23
39.0%
23
61.0%
Q1 - 2:22MIADragic 20' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)23
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q1 - 2:44TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)23
42.8%
21
57.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIADragic 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)20
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 3:08MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 3:09TORMISS Biyombo 18' Jump Shot20
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 3:28TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.6%
19
57.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 3:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 3:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
39.9%
19
60.1%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Phillips)18
19
Q1 - 3:50MIASUB: Green FOR Wade18
19
Q1 - 3:50TORSUB: Patterson FOR Lowry18
19
Q1 - 3:50TORSUB: Biyombo FOR Scola18
19
Q1 - 3:50TORSUB: Joseph FOR Johnson18
19
Q1 - 3:50TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
19
Q1 - 3:50TORRaptors Rebound18
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 3:51TORMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot18
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 3:55TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot18
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 4:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 4:06TORMISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)18
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 4:31TORLowry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)18
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (4 PTS)16
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 9' Hook Shot16
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 5:05TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Phillips)14
15
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T5)14
15
Q1 - 5:19MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Ross: Tip to Lowry14
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
36.5%
15
63.5%
Q1 - 5:30TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)14
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 5:41TORWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)14
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 5:56TORRaptors Rebound14
15
Q1 - 5:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw Technical14
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
15
Q1 - 5:56MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Deng ) (J.Phillips)14
15
Q1 - 6:04MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 6:04TORSUB: Ross FOR Biyombo14
14
Q1 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound14
14
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 214
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 6:04TORLowry S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Phillips)14
14
Q1 - 6:21TORScola 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
38.2%
14
61.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWade 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)11
35.4%
14
64.6%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 6:56TORMISS Lowry 19' Jump Shot11
37.4%
12
62.6%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 7:21MIASUB: Winslow FOR Bosh11
10
Q1 - 7:21TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 7:36MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 7:43TORWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)11
43.2%
8
56.8%
Q1 - 7:59TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup11
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 8:19TORDeRozan 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
42.6%
8
57.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 8:46TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot9
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 9:02TORBiyombo S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood)9
7
Q1 - 9:02MIADragic 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)9
7
Q1 - 9:21TORScola 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)9
43.4%
5
56.6%
Q1 - 9:27MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
42.5%
5
57.5%
Q1 - 9:48TORScola 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)7
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIADragic 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
41.3%
3
58.7%
Q1 - 10:18TORMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot5
41.5%
3
58.5%
Q1 - 10:36MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
42.1%
3
57.9%
Q1 - 10:51TORScola 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)5
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Turnaround Hook Shot3
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 11:33TORScola Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood)2
0
Q1 - 11:33TORScola 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:36MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Biyombo: Tip to Bosh0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
19
26
73%
MIA
15
22
68%
Midrange
TOR
14
33
42%
MIA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
TOR
18
22
82%
MIA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3065%15.0 / 23
K. Lowry2153%10.5 / 20
L. Scola2063%10.0 / 16
T. Ross1794%8.5 / 9
J. Johnson1365%6.5 / 10
B. Biyombo542%2.5 / 6
P. Patterson233%1.0 / 3
C. Joseph0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2158%10.5 / 18
G. Green2067%10.0 / 15
G. Dragic1864%9.0 / 14
C. Bosh1161%5.5 / 9
L. Deng941%4.5 / 11
H. Whiteside867%4.0 / 6
B. Udrih563%2.5 / 4
J. Winslow233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
82
+11
-7
93
MIA
75
+7
-13
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
106.0
TOR 121.3 +14.5
MIA 106.8
Pace
92.8
93.7
TOR 88.7
MIA 88.9 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.0
TOR 16.2
MIA 16.2 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.8%
TOR 56.3% +2.9%
MIA 53.4%
TO %
13.0%
14.0%
TOR 7.2% −6.6%
MIA 13.8%
ORB %
24.7%
23.9%
TOR 16.7% +5.6%
MIA 11.1%
FTrt
32.8
28.2
TOR 27.5 +4.5
MIA 23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.1%
54.3%
TOR 43.9%
MIA 54.3% +10.4%
STL %
8.3%
7.2%
TOR 12.4% +7.9%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
9.3%
10.3%
TOR 10.2%
MIA 10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
52.8%
TOR 58.1% +0.8%
MIA 57.3%
Rim FG%
57.2%
62.3%
TOR 73.1% +4.9%
MIA 68.2%
Mid FG%
38.7%
40.5%
TOR 42.4% +1.7%
MIA 40.7%
3P %
37.0%
33.6%
TOR 38.1% +2.1%
MIA 36.0%
FT %
77.7%
74.4%
TOR 81.8%
MIA 88.2% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.1%
37.0%
TOR 32.5% +2.8%
MIA 29.7%
Mid Att. %
34.2%
40.9%
TOR 41.3%
MIA 36.5% −4.8%
3P Att. %
28.7%
22.1%
TOR 26.3%
MIA 33.8% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.123.8
Points10894
Rebounds3834
Assists1819
Steals114
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)30 (0)
Field Goals41-8035-74
At-the-Rim FG19-2615-22
Midrange FG14-3311-27
2-Point FG33-5926-49
3-Point FG8-219-25
Free Throws18-2215-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 26
39.7
30
65%
4
4
2
0
3
0
0
4
10-13
77%
10-16
63%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 196 · 30
37.9
21
53%
3
4
4
0
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
7-14
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'8" 255 · 23
34.5
5
42%
15
0
0
1
1
1
4
11
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
32.2
13
65%
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 241 · 36
26.9
20
63%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
8-14
57%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25
25.4
17
94%
1
1
1
2
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
23.9
2
33%
8
1
1
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
19.5
0
0%
3
2
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
C · 7'0" 220 · 23
G · 6'3" 215 · 23
F · 6'8" 245 · 23
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'4" 185 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
58%
38
18
11
5
7
0
6
32
18-22
82%
33-59
56%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.