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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pistons42%102147
14Bulls58%104144
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
57.3
32.7
20
51%
7
2
0
1
1
2
2
5
3-6
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
46%
3-6
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.4
54.2
32.6
33
56%
21
3
3
1
2
2
10
11
5-10
50%
14-25
7-13
56%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
54.0
26.0
18
44%
9
4
0
1
0
2
3
6
5-8
63%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
1-8
13%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.7
49.5
28.6
31
49%
6
13
1
1
0
2
1
5
7-10
70%
12-25
5-11
48%
46%
0-2
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
48.8
38.7
17
43%
7
3
1
2
1
1
1
6
1-4
25%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
2-7
29%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.6
30.4
19.7
16
63%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
5-9
2-5
56%
42%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.8
19.4
16.8
8
68%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
13.6
0.9
2
114%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
13.0
19.1
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
13.1
0
2-4
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
55.5
35.0
43
60%
8
2
2
2
2
3
1
7
14-16
88%
13-25
6-12
52%
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
54.2
30.5
34
47%
4
8
1
1
0
4
0
4
5-5
100%
13-31
5-11
42%
46%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.4
48.0
29.5
30
53%
15
5
0
0
5
1
6
9
10-12
83%
10-22
6-12
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
44.1
20.3
14
69%
12
0
0
0
2
2
6
6
6-7
86%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.1
38.2
24.0
3
21%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-7
14%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
25.7
25.7
6
60%
11
4
1
1
0
3
5
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.8
23.9
17.1
5
36%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
22.3
23.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
13.1
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.9
11.5
13.5
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.8
3.4
5.4
5
87%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.9
2.0
0
0-1
50%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.3
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.