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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Clippers31%99107
2Spurs69%106115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 26.8
40
34
25
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
8-17
8-17
47%
49%
2-2
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
35
29
16
17
0
0
1
2
0
4
13
8-20
40%
4-6
3-5
67%
64%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
34
32
27
2
10
3
2
0
2
1
1
9-10
90%
6-9
5-10
67%
48%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.5
33
27
14
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.3
22
17
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 35.7
17
22
0
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.4
15
17
7
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
14
17
4
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.0
12
14
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
0-2
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
10
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.2
8
13
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.6
4
0
0-0
42%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.1
1
0
0-0
44%
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
36
32
19
9
2
0
2
0
0
1
8
6-7
86%
5-11
5-10
45%
54%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
32
28
26
13
3
0
0
1
0
2
11
4-6
67%
11-18
6-13
61%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
31
24
21
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
52%
3-3
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
29
22
14
5
4
1
1
0
2
3
2
4-6
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
25
20
10
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
24
19
8
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
21
15
5
1
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
19
20
3
4
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
14
18
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
8
13
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
15
1
1-3
46%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
10
0
2-3
54%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
7
0
0-1
49%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.