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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Grizzlies
88
9Mavericks
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
35
32
20
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
7-7
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
35
34
2
7
3
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
0-6
4-9
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.9
34
35
16
8
1
3
1
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.8
32
26
11
5
1
4
1
3
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
1-6
17%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.2
29
34
8
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
26
27
7
8
1
0
1
0
1
3
5
1-2
50%
3-10
5-11
30%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
25
21
12
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-4
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.5
13
13
8
7
0
0
0
0
1
5
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
8
4
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.6
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.7
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
9
1
1-2
48%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.9
4
0
0-1
42%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
31
30
14
6
3
1
1
0
5
1
5
7-8
88%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
29
31
2
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
29
26
10
18
1
1
1
0
2
6
12
2-2
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.5
28
27
20
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
28
32
8
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
2-5
40%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
31
26
16
7
6
1
1
0
2
0
7
4-5
80%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
2-6
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
22
20
7
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-3
33%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
18
6
10
5
0
0
0
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.3
12
9
10
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
9
13
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.8
16
1
1-3
51%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.5
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.