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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2015
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets40%10088
16Jazz60%10497
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
34
31
11
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
33
28
15
5
6
1
1
1
2
2
3
4-4
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
29
27
12
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
29
26
8
7
0
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-2
0%
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
27
16
12
13
1
0
0
0
0
6
7
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
2-4
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.9
23
31
16
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
1-6
17%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
21
20
7
10
0
1
1
0
2
3
7
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
18
11
6
1
0
2
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
15
18
0
0
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
11
12
1
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
10
0
0-0
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
6
0
1-2
49%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.7
36
33
26
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
6-7
86%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
4-7
57%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.4
35
32
7
9
0
1
1
0
1
3
6
3-5
60%
2-8
7-13
25%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.2
33
25
12
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
1-5
20%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.1
26
17
6
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.6
15
12
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
25
25
12
6
1
2
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
1-1
100%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.1
23
24
13
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
45%
1-4
25%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.4
17
28
8
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.2
17
7
5
0
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.8
9
15
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Elijah Millsap
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.4
3
10
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.6
6
0
0-1
50%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.1
2
0
0-0
54%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.