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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 21, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic
107
24Knicks
99
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
37
30
20
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
36
31
26
9
2
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
13-19
8-15
68%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
32
28
16
6
1
3
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
21
24
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.8
10
31
5
0
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
5-10
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
27
14
2
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
24
28
12
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.8
19
8
11
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
12
20
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
1-2
50%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
12
4
3
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
11
17
0
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
3
0
0-1
50%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
40
32
23
4
6
0
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
8-14
6-12
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.7
34
18
12
8
2
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
6-6
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
33
30
4
5
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.4
25
27
9
8
1
0
1
4
2
2
6
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.2
18
23
4
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
27
22
24
2
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
6-6
2-5
100%
46%
3-3
100%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.0
26
23
10
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
1-4
25%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
14
13
6
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
10
16
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.0
8
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.8
5
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
3
0
0-1
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.0
3
0
0-1
44%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.