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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 22, 2015
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Lakers38%104111
27Nuggets62%108107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 23.5
37.7
30.8
19
53%
8
2
3
1
0
2
3
5
7-9
78%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.2
37.0
28.2
17
64%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-5
40%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37.3
32.2
18.6
31
58%
3
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
9-11
82%
8-13
3-6
62%
46%
2-9
22%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
19.4
22.6
10
56%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.0
15.2
22.8
5
102%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
30.7
7.0
11
87%
6
2
0
0
4
1
1
5
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.1
28.2
24.1
8
48%
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
2-3
67%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 19.8
21.2
27.5
6
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
16.2
19.0
4
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-5
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.5
2.1
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 23.2
12.6
0
1-2
45%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
8.6
0
1-1
44%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 36.1
5.2
0
0-1
44%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
35.4
26.9
21
66%
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
7-10
3-5
70%
51%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
29.8
31.8
5
25%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
29.6
25.5
14
60%
9
3
0
1
1
1
3
6
6-6
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
55%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
16.1
16.9
0
0%
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
11.2
14.9
9
90%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
38.3
30.4
25
56%
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
3-3
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
50%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
30.0
20.9
15
78%
10
5
0
1
0
3
6
4
5-6
83%
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
29.3
18.1
9
38%
6
4
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
1-2
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
20.3
10.6
9
56%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
10.2
0
2-3
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
8.1
0
0-0
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
4.9
0
1-2
52%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.