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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
December 23, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Celtics45%105102
11Hornets55%10689
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
37.3
31.0
19
53%
12
0
0
1
1
0
1
11
3-4
75%
8-11
3-6
73%
50%
0-5
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
35.6
32.4
18
60%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
34.2
33.0
18
63%
4
7
1
1
0
5
1
3
9-10
90%
0-4
5-10
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
30.0
23.0
20
79%
9
3
2
1
0
3
1
8
5-6
83%
6-7
3-6
86%
50%
1-3
33%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
24.1
24.3
8
33%
10
5
2
1
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
21.9
24.9
0
0%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
18.0
17.9
10
63%
7
3
0
0
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.2
18.0
13.7
7
44%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
11.7
10.1
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.8
9.4
18.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
8.0
0
0-1
48%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.5
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.6
41.0
37.3
10
36%
3
4
1
2
1
4
0
3
2-4
50%
4-8
5-11
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.0
39.2
29.6
17
51%
6
7
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
3-8
38%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
33.9
24.3
7
44%
10
2
2
1
1
1
4
6
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.5
17.0
27.5
3
30%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
12.7
20.4
5
43%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
32.2
28.0
12
44%
8
3
0
1
2
4
4
4
6-6
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
31.0
21.9
23
51%
7
2
0
0
1
1
2
5
3-6
50%
7-13
2-3
54%
49%
2-7
29%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.6
18.9
16.7
12
80%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
7-8
88%
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.1
8.3
3.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.7
5.9
19.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.0
6.9
0
2-3
49%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.1
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
3.7
0
0-0
40%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.2
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.