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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 23, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pistons34%102100
9Hawks66%108107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
38
33
22
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-3
67%
7-14
4-8
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.4
36
34
25
12
2
1
1
3
2
3
9
7-18
39%
9-13
7-14
69%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.7
33
30
19
5
7
1
1
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
6-13
6-12
46%
47%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
33
26
5
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-5
20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
28
38
12
4
0
1
1
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.6
26
21
9
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
15
20
2
2
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.8
15
16
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
12
12
4
6
1
0
0
2
2
3
3
2-5
40%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
19
1
2-6
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
1
0
0-0
40%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.5
32
27
23
6
9
4
1
0
2
4
2
3-5
60%
10-16
4-8
63%
48%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.9
32
29
18
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
7-13
5-9
54%
51%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
30
29
15
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
5-9
55%
55%
1-3
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.5
30
30
8
6
2
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.8
29
31
9
5
3
0
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
24
20
0
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.3
20
21
14
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.0
19
16
11
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.4
14
17
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.4
10
11
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
6
0
1-1
53%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.7
3
0
0-1
49%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.7
2
0
0-0
47%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.