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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 23, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs76%106108
23Timberwolves24%9683
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
31
33
19
6
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
54%
3-7
43%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
29
28
12
8
0
1
1
1
2
2
6
4-5
80%
4-8
6-13
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
24
27
14
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
24
23
2
5
5
1
1
4
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
22
24
11
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
3-4
75%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
23
16
13
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-3
33%
6-8
2-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
20
21
6
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
20
8
10
5
3
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-5
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
16
22
6
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
16
19
8
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
8
11
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
4
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.1
34
29
10
11
1
0
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 20.8
31
32
10
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
6-9
67%
2-10
6-12
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
25
30
9
4
2
0
2
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-6
67%
37%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.8
20
20
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.6
11
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 25.9
29
30
12
6
2
0
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
24
23
17
2
4
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-4
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.1
21
16
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
4-4
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.6
20
1
6
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.6
17
6
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 24.8
8
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 32.9
18
0
2-5
41%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.8
6
0
1-1
47%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.5
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.