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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 25, 2015
2:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bulls28%101105
4Thunder72%10996
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
43
36
23
6
4
4
2
0
3
3
3
4-4
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.5
38
31
21
13
6
0
0
2
4
7
6
5-6
83%
8-15
6-13
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
34
27
13
10
2
1
1
1
1
3
7
1-1
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
30
30
19
4
1
0
1
0
4
1
3
5-6
83%
7-17
5-11
41%
44%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.9
16
20
6
7
2
1
1
2
1
0
7
3-3
100%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-5
20%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
23
20
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.9
20
11
7
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
17
14
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.9
10
14
6
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.1
9
16
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
1-1
100%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.8
5
0
1-1
45%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
2
0
0-1
44%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.5
0
0
0-0
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.3
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
42
32
29
9
7
1
1
1
2
2
7
6-6
100%
10-15
5-10
67%
54%
1-6
17%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
40
31
26
7
8
6
2
0
6
1
6
7-13
54%
8-16
6-13
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
35
29
6
7
0
2
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
0-2
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
20
21
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
58%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
13
24
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.6
26
19
14
13
1
0
0
0
0
7
6
2-2
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
21
14
9
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
3-6
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
19
22
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
45%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.1
13
12
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.2
11
14
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
7
0
0-1
42%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.4
5
0
1-1
45%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
4
0
0-0
41%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.