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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 25, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs64%10684
7Rockets36%10188
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
39
32
20
8
4
5
2
3
1
4
4
2-2
100%
6-14
6-10
43%
54%
2-5
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
36
28
18
9
2
0
1
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
9-17
6-13
53%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
32
23
13
11
3
0
1
0
3
2
9
3-4
75%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
29
25
2
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
5-9
17%
52%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
22
23
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
26
17
9
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
19
20
3
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
1-5
20%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
16
19
10
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
53%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
12
18
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
9
10
2
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
13
1
1-3
47%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
5
0
0-0
48%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
4
0
1-1
54%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
38
36
20
4
9
0
2
1
4
0
4
4-5
80%
5-15
5-11
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.0
36
30
11
12
0
2
1
0
0
2
10
3-8
38%
4-6
4-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
32
20
6
5
1
0
1
1
3
4
1
2-4
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
28
34
7
4
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.5
22
29
3
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.0
22
17
14
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.8
20
15
4
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.1
19
15
7
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.3
17
11
12
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.3
6
15
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
15
1
2-4
44%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
2
0
0-0
46%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
41%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.