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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 26, 2015
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards60%108111
28Nets40%10496
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
34
37
22
4
13
1
2
2
3
2
2
2-3
67%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.6
34
35
9
1
3
2
2
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
32
21
12
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
30
36
25
7
3
1
1
1
2
2
5
5-6
83%
10-15
7-13
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
29
33
3
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
22
27
9
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-7
43%
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
20
17
10
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.6
19
11
7
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
14
3
12
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
4-5
80%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
15
0
2-4
45%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
3
0
0-1
43%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.5
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
37
33
9
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
37
34
16
14
0
4
2
1
2
6
8
0-4
0%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
35
28
14
5
2
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
2-6
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
32
34
15
2
11
3
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
47%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
30
33
19
11
3
0
1
2
1
6
5
1-3
33%
9-16
7-15
56%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
16
19
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
15
12
2
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
13
18
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
10
7
7
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
1-3
33%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
6
13
1
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-1
100%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.