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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 26, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bulls36%104111
12Mavericks64%108118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.9
40
18
23
7
1
2
1
3
0
1
6
7-11
64%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
4-7
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.5
38
34
18
9
3
1
1
3
0
4
5
4-4
100%
7-10
7-14
70%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
37
39
17
4
8
3
2
0
5
0
4
7-8
88%
2-6
7-14
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
37
30
25
5
4
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
12-19
5-12
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
33
30
12
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-2
0%
6-8
4-8
75%
49%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
18
22
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.9
15
12
7
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
10
16
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-3
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.9
10
16
2
4
0
1
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.1
14
0
1-2
42%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.8
4
0
0-1
45%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.5
0
0
0-0
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.3
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
36
33
10
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-8
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.5
33
29
16
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-4
4-9
50%
50%
3-7
43%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
33
28
26
0
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
7-8
88%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
29
23
17
12
1
0
1
0
1
6
6
5-5
100%
6-13
3-5
46%
47%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
22
27
13
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
8-8
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
36
28
20
5
5
2
1
0
3
2
3
2-3
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
52%
2-5
40%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
21
11
9
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
4
1-3
33%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.8
18
11
7
3
4
3
0
0
2
2
1
2-3
67%
1-6
1-2
17%
50%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
9
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.3
4
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
26
1
3-6
45%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
9
0
1-2
50%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
2
0
0-0
55%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.