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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 27, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks25%10091
6Celtics75%109100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
35.4
27.1
29
50%
10
2
0
1
0
2
4
6
5-7
71%
9-21
5-10
43%
45%
2-5
40%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
33.3
31.8
4
20%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.7
29.6
21.0
8
51%
6
2
0
0
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.4
28.0
25.8
16
48%
12
0
2
1
3
2
4
8
8-8
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.2
21.6
24.7
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.0
26.4
24.8
4
29%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
39%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
23.0
18.5
10
54%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
17.1
25.8
10
73%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.8
14.7
3.7
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.8
10.8
19.4
4
33%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
0.1
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
13.8
0
1-3
41%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.1
4.2
0
1-2
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
34.3
33.9
18
68%
6
2
1
2
0
1
1
5
3-5
60%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
32.7
32.5
21
47%
8
6
0
1
0
3
2
6
8-10
80%
5-13
4-9
38%
49%
1-5
20%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
31.2
32.4
6
43%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
23.6
22.7
3
15%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-8
4-7
13%
50%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
22.4
23.5
8
57%
7
1
1
1
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
30.5
23.4
19
80%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
47%
1-1
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
21.3
24.8
11
51%
9
2
2
1
1
1
1
8
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.8
19.2
12.2
7
81%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
13.1
25.3
6
47%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-2
50%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.2
7.1
16.2
1
17%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
4.6
12.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
4.2
0
0-0
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
1.2
0
0-0
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.