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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
December 28, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets
111
15Heat
105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
35.3
33.9
4
29%
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
0-2
3-7
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
35.2
31.4
26
48%
12
0
2
1
1
2
5
7
6-7
86%
10-24
7-14
42%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
33.5
34.3
11
63%
6
0
3
2
0
2
2
4
2-4
50%
3-6
7-14
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
30.3
32.8
18
75%
4
6
2
1
0
3
1
3
9-9
100%
3-5
3-8
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
28.0
30.9
9
51%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
32.5
17.3
26
69%
7
2
1
0
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
2-9
2-4
22%
43%
7-9
78%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
18.6
13.7
8
52%
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
12.2
8.4
4
52%
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
8.7
2.1
5
87%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
5.6
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
9.8
0
1-2
44%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
2.7
0
0-0
45%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
34.3
32.5
9
45%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
55%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
34.1
33.9
24
104%
12
3
1
1
0
2
4
8
5-8
63%
2-3
5-10
67%
53%
5-5
100%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
33.2
30.2
18
71%
11
0
1
1
5
3
6
5
4-6
67%
7-10
5-9
70%
61%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.9
30.3
29.7
24
74%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
10-12
83%
7-10
8-15
70%
51%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
29.5
32.4
15
58%
4
0
1
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
33.2
26.9
7
29%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
1-7
14%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.6
17.7
16.5
2
17%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
14.0
4.9
4
41%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
13.7
15.1
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
5.1
0
0-1
48%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
3.6
0
0-0
45%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
2.1
0
0-0
61%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.