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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 28, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Kings13%102103
1Warriors87%117122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
35.2
35.1
36
91%
6
1
0
1
0
4
1
5
1-4
25%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
9-12
75%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
31.6
33.6
17
48%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
4-13
5-12
31%
45%
2-3
67%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
21.0
19.0
3
26%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.8
17.6
35.9
4
29%
3
2
1
2
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.4
12.4
35.1
7
34%
4
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
3-8
8-17
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
33.3
28.9
13
39%
6
11
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-13
3-7
31%
47%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.2
24.7
2.1
8
48%
10
1
2
0
3
2
3
7
1-3
33%
2-5
0-0
40%
44%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.8
22.3
1.8
5
30%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-7
0-0
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.8
21.8
21.8
3
31%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
20.1
8.2
7
43%
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
0-3
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
17.0
0
2-5
49%
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
2.2
0
0-0
39%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
37.0
34.2
29
59%
5
2
1
1
1
4
1
4
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
5-12
42%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
31.2
37.0
25
71%
8
4
2
2
0
6
3
5
6-8
75%
2-7
5-10
29%
53%
5-7
71%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
30.4
34.9
23
65%
14
10
2
2
0
2
0
14
3-4
75%
1-3
5-9
33%
55%
6-13
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.1
14.4
22.8
4
100%
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
13.3
17.7
6
100%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-3
67%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.9
29.0
28.1
0
0%
6
6
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.3
26.1
20.0
8
44%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
22.1
5.7
12
67%
4
0
2
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
48%
2-4
50%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.0
16.8
4.7
7
51%
6
1
0
0
3
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
11.7
17.7
5
51%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
8.2
1.2
3
52%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.1
9.3
0
1-3
49%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
4.9
0
1-3
48%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.