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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 29, 2015
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers67%10693
25Nuggets33%10087
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.3
36
27
8
14
1
2
1
0
1
1
13
0-2
0%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-5
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
35
28
9
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
5
1-6
17%
4-7
3-5
57%
53%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
34
33
34
6
2
2
1
1
5
3
3
7-8
88%
12-21
8-14
57%
55%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
29
26
4
7
5
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
26
26
11
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-6
17%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.5
31
23
16
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
2-5
40%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.0
19
8
7
1
4
1
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
15
16
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.5
13
17
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
6
0
1-2
51%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
5
0
0-1
51%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.3
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
33
31
12
7
2
2
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
28
26
9
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
1-2
50%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
24
21
14
7
3
1
0
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
48%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
24
29
0
4
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
22
18
0
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
34
31
29
7
1
0
1
2
3
0
7
4-4
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
49%
3-8
38%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
25
25
7
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
22
21
10
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
2-3
67%
4-11
3-6
36%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
20
19
6
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
7
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
9
0
1-3
39%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
5
0
1-2
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
5
0
1-1
45%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.