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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 30, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets34%10293
22Magic66%108100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
39
33
24
15
2
3
1
5
2
6
9
10-12
83%
7-17
8-15
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
38
29
20
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
8-11
2-4
73%
51%
1-6
17%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
34
34
7
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
33
31
5
5
10
2
1
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
0-4
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
27
33
16
4
3
1
2
0
1
2
2
6-6
100%
5-7
6-13
71%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
24
16
0
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
17
23
9
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
14
11
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
9
10
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
4
5
4
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
6
0
1-1
44%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
3
0
0-0
42%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
2
0
0-0
46%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
40
32
17
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
3-8
38%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
37
35
12
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
2-3
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
35
35
20
9
3
0
1
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
9-18
9-17
50%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
22
23
8
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
5
26
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-9
-
47%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
29
24
12
7
3
1
1
0
5
2
5
4-4
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
48%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
26
12
10
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
4
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
17
3
7
3
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.8
8
14
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
7
15
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
7
13
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
6
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
53%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
2
0
0-0
48%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.