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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 30, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers49%103100
16Bulls51%104102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
42.0
33.2
19
45%
5
4
4
2
0
5
1
4
2-3
67%
4-11
4-9
36%
44%
3-9
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
39.2
33.2
20
65%
7
3
4
1
0
2
4
3
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
37.9
21.6
10
71%
12
0
1
0
0
1
4
8
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
45%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.2
35.4
34.0
13
31%
1
5
2
2
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-14
4-9
21%
47%
1-5
20%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.1
26.3
23.6
7
64%
7
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
31.5
23.7
13
46%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
3-5
60%
5-11
3-7
45%
44%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
21.5
3.7
8
38%
5
1
0
0
3
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-8
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
20.2
12.3
8
51%
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.6
11.0
13.9
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.4
24.3
1
4-9
48%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
13.7
0
1-2
46%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
0.6
0
0-0
43%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
43.7
36.5
28
64%
4
4
2
2
1
2
0
4
11-13
85%
7-13
5-11
54%
48%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.5
37.4
32.1
13
39%
11
1
0
1
3
4
2
9
5-6
83%
4-13
6-13
31%
49%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
37.4
33.1
6
43%
14
2
2
1
1
1
6
8
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.9
19.9
22.1
0
0%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
12.6
11.9
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.0
40.9
18.5
29
67%
1
5
1
1
0
6
1
0
3-4
75%
7-13
2-5
54%
44%
4-7
57%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.1
26.8
17.4
2
17%
7
0
0
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.9
26.0
18.5
16
62%
7
0
1
1
1
3
3
4
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
20.3
13.3
5
36%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
30.7
1
6-12
46%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.8
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.5
0.2
0
0-0
67%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.3
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.