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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 30, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Suns11%9379
2Spurs89%110112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 24.1
27
36
11
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
4-10
40%
43%
1-3
33%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 30.7
25
33
5
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
1-2
50%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 19.2
24
20
9
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
41%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 26.6
15
27
5
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 22.5
12
20
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 33.2
26
18
11
10
1
0
0
2
1
3
7
1-3
33%
5-6
2-3
83%
56%
0-0
-
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.3
22
21
11
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Bryce Cotton
G · 6'1" 165 · 23.4
21
5
2
0
2
3
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
36%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.3
20
15
4
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.4
17
4
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-8
0-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 29.5
14
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 30.3
10
13
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 25.0
8
3
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.1
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 32.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
29
35
19
0
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-6
6-11
50%
55%
3-4
75%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
29
28
21
12
2
0
1
1
2
2
10
5-10
50%
8-11
6-13
73%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
23
27
12
3
7
4
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
4-7
5-9
57%
52%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
21
24
7
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
20
21
4
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
20
22
13
4
2
1
0
0
4
1
3
3-5
60%
5-6
3-5
83%
55%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
19
8
8
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
18
21
5
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
17
20
7
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
15
10
7
12
0
1
0
1
1
2
10
3-4
75%
2-6
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
12
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
9
11
7
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
8
7
2
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.