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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 30, 2015
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nuggets
103
20Trail Blazers
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
41
32
19
4
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
4-6
67%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
41
27
14
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
2-6
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
30
27
8
12
2
0
1
2
4
3
9
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
52%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
23
22
12
6
3
2
0
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
12
19
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
36
32
31
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
8-16
5-10
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
18
22
10
6
1
0
1
2
2
3
3
4-4
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
15
25
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-3
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
13
20
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
12
8
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
8
0
1-2
39%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
5
0
1-2
49%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
5
0
1-2
45%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
36
36
29
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
9-13
6-12
69%
49%
3-6
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
33
23
14
9
4
0
1
0
0
0
9
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
49%
0-5
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
32
30
20
5
1
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
4-7
57%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
28
24
13
7
4
1
1
3
2
3
4
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
58%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.4
16
16
0
4
2
3
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
26
20
12
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
54%
2-5
40%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
22
26
11
5
2
0
0
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
1-3
3-4
33%
57%
2-6
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.1
19
19
4
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
16
16
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.2
12
20
4
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.7
5
0
1-2
50%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
3
0
0-1
46%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.7
2
0
0-1
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.