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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 3, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
97
18Wizards
75
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
31
32
18
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
53%
2-4
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
30
31
6
13
1
1
1
6
0
3
10
0-2
0%
3-9
5-9
33%
59%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
28
34
23
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
5-5
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
2-5
40%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
27
30
9
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
25
25
8
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
28
28
15
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
23
22
10
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
18
16
0
3
2
2
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
17
16
4
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-2
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
9
0
2-4
52%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
41
31
11
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
2-8
25%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
34
37
14
4
5
1
2
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
5-15
7-14
33%
48%
1-6
17%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.6
31
33
6
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
51%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
28
34
12
13
1
1
1
0
3
8
5
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
28
29
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
28
26
13
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
5-7
71%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
26
20
6
8
1
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
12
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
12
13
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
6
0
1-2
44%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
3
0
0-1
43%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
3
0
0-1
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.5
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.