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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 3, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Trail Blazers51%105112
25Nuggets49%104106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
33
37
25
3
7
0
1
0
5
0
3
3-5
60%
8-13
6-13
62%
48%
2-4
50%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
32
31
14
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
52%
2-5
40%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.4
26
17
5
8
2
0
1
1
0
2
6
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
22
26
14
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
22
23
6
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
4-5
80%
1-2
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
26
14
5
9
2
2
0
1
0
2
7
1-4
25%
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.1
25
15
19
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
6-8
75%
5-12
2-4
42%
46%
1-2
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
22
27
7
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
18
21
10
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.2
15
18
7
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.7
4
0
1-1
49%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
2
0
0-0
44%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.7
2
0
0-1
48%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
36
28
29
5
3
1
1
1
0
0
5
11-16
69%
6-9
3-6
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
33
34
17
4
7
1
1
0
1
2
2
9-10
90%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
27
27
13
9
1
0
1
1
1
6
3
1-5
20%
6-14
5-10
43%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
27
34
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
22
14
9
10
2
2
0
1
2
4
6
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
25
37
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
6-12
20%
49%
1-5
20%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
20
17
7
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
17
20
4
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
15
3
12
8
0
0
0
1
0
2
6
4-9
44%
4-7
0-1
57%
45%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
12
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
6
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
10
0
0-0
48%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
5
0
1-2
51%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.