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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 4, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers53%102100
15Heat47%101103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
42
33
32
7
2
2
2
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
7-16
4-9
44%
45%
5-13
38%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.2
41
32
17
3
9
0
2
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
7-14
4-9
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.2
33
21
13
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
7
5-8
63%
4-5
2-4
80%
54%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
23
24
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
7
21
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
2-5
40%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
30
25
12
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-7
86%
3-9
3-7
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.6
22
9
0
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.4
20
18
10
12
1
1
0
1
3
3
9
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
18
16
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
11
0
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
0-0
20%
40%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
11
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
7
12
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
35
1
3-6
50%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
42
31
31
11
1
1
1
1
0
2
9
13-16
81%
6-14
5-9
43%
50%
2-6
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
39
31
13
5
4
0
1
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
38
25
27
8
3
0
1
1
0
3
5
9-10
90%
9-22
6-12
41%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
27
28
8
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
10
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
57%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
36
17
7
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
36
23
8
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
16
28
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
15
6
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
8
16
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
5
0
0-1
46%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
4
0
0-0
43%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
2
0
0-0
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.