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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 4, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs
123
26Bucks
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
31
33
24
2
1
2
2
1
4
0
2
3-3
100%
6-7
5-10
86%
54%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
30
30
16
11
1
0
1
1
1
6
5
4-5
80%
6-14
6-13
43%
49%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
28
20
10
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
3-5
60%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
27
22
14
10
4
2
1
1
1
2
8
0-1
0%
7-11
3-6
64%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
14
27
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
22
18
8
4
7
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
2-2
100%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
20
11
18
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
6-7
1-2
86%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
19
23
14
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
55%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
17
7
2
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
15
20
10
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
9
7
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
5
8
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.4
34
35
19
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
7-7
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
44%
0-4
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
32
28
14
8
3
0
1
1
0
4
4
4-4
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
31
32
16
4
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
3-6
50%
5-9
5-11
56%
43%
1-1
100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.1
30
32
11
4
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
48%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
28
26
15
8
2
2
1
1
2
2
6
5-8
63%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
24
16
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.4
16
11
2
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
37%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.0
14
18
8
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-1
0%
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.6
8
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
7
27
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.3
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.4
5
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.8
5
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-1
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.0
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.