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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Knicks31%9998
11Heat69%10590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
40.4
33.6
9
45%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
36.6
36.3
25
81%
5
4
2
1
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
9-11
6-14
82%
45%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.3
34.6
30.4
9
90%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.8
34.5
29.4
19
76%
4
1
0
0
2
1
3
1
1-1
100%
9-12
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.4
30.9
28.6
12
47%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
6-6
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
18.4
20.8
2
33%
2
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
17.5
17.3
13
73%
8
0
1
0
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.1
14.4
17.7
5
73%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
7.9
11.0
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.8
4.7
5.9
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.1
4.0
0
1-1
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.1
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.8
2.6
0
0-0
37%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
34.1
33.0
28
59%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
11-18
5-10
61%
53%
1-4
25%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
33.7
31.7
10
51%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
31.8
26.4
9
44%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
30.5
27.8
18
53%
6
6
0
1
0
4
3
3
2-2
100%
8-16
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
28.4
30.0
8
58%
8
1
0
1
1
4
4
4
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
61%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
26.3
22.6
7
39%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
21.5
25.5
8
67%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
21.5
21.8
2
25%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
12.3
12.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
8.6
0
2-3
54%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
5.3
0
1-1
59%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.