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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers63%106121
19Wizards37%101115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
40
31
34
10
4
1
1
1
2
0
10
6-8
75%
8-13
7-13
62%
54%
4-9
44%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
36
30
12
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
35
26
25
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
5-10
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
34
25
32
5
3
2
1
1
4
2
3
3-5
60%
13-18
4-8
72%
47%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.3
29
30
8
9
0
2
1
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.5
30
26
5
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
28
24
3
4
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
5
15
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.5
5
11
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
10
0
0-1
38%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.0
6
0
1-2
46%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
5
0
1-1
51%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
40
36
20
3
12
1
2
0
7
0
3
0-2
0%
4-15
6-13
27%
47%
4-4
100%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
35
28
12
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
34
35
21
4
1
0
2
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
3-5
60%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.6
33
32
12
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
2-3
67%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
30
31
12
6
3
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-9
6-11
67%
54%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
21
6
13
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-5
1-1
80%
44%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
16
26
9
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
12
9
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-4
25%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
10
22
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
8
9
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
3
0
0-1
42%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
2
0
0-1
49%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.5
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.