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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pistons
99
7Celtics
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
37
32
8
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
4-5
80%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
37
35
20
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
4-7
57%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.7
31
27
24
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
7-13
5-11
54%
46%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
22
29
5
5
3
0
1
1
2
3
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.4
21
31
13
5
0
2
1
2
1
1
4
1-5
20%
6-8
7-13
75%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.6
24
17
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-6
33%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.6
23
22
11
10
2
1
1
0
5
2
8
2-2
100%
3-5
2-6
60%
42%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.1
18
14
6
6
4
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.3
17
19
6
1
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-5
-
40%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
9
2
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.9
5
0
0-0
41%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
42%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
2
0
0-0
39%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
36
33
16
4
0
2
2
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
36
32
22
5
10
1
1
1
2
1
4
9-13
69%
5-14
5-10
36%
48%
1-6
17%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
36
33
17
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
31
26
16
11
2
0
1
2
1
3
8
0-0
-
8-13
3-5
62%
59%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
29
25
10
5
4
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-2
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
2-4
50%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
26
22
2
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-4
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.8
16
10
3
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
15
19
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.2
8
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
7
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
10
0
2-4
52%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
8
0
2-3
51%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.