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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors66%10791
28Nets34%10174
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
36
35
15
4
5
2
1
0
4
1
3
4-5
80%
4-11
7-15
36%
46%
1-2
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.8
36
36
17
8
6
5
2
0
2
0
8
3-3
100%
7-7
4-9
100%
46%
0-7
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.7
30
24
22
11
0
1
0
2
3
4
7
6-6
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
56%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
26
12
8
5
0
0
1
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
56%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.7
21
22
6
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.8
26
24
8
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
23
22
10
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.9
19
25
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.4
17
20
0
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.4
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.6
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.8
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
40
36
24
13
1
1
1
3
3
5
8
2-5
40%
11-21
8-16
52%
51%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
35
32
12
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
32
34
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
31
33
11
7
2
2
2
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
5-12
6-13
42%
51%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
30
23
9
5
4
3
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
1-4
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
23
23
5
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
19
13
2
3
4
1
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
12
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.6
8
9
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
6
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.