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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nuggets43%10478
23Timberwolves57%10774
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
35.3
30.8
20
55%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
6-7
86%
4-13
3-7
31%
45%
2-2
100%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
25.8
16.5
4
40%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
24.4
31.3
8
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
20.3
33.1
6
38%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
18.1
26.7
3
17%
7
0
2
1
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-8
5-10
13%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
29.9
17.5
7
44%
6
5
1
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
27.7
19.1
4
29%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
25.6
32.4
7
51%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
1-4
5-10
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
22.0
7.9
15
45%
10
2
0
0
5
1
3
7
3-6
50%
6-14
1-3
43%
46%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
10.9
11.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
0.0
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
11.2
0
2-4
49%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
4.9
0
1-2
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.9
32.5
22.3
6
60%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.1
32.1
27.3
14
47%
14
2
0
1
2
0
4
10
2-2
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
55%
0-1
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 20.9
31.4
30.6
11
33%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-6
50%
4-13
6-12
31%
49%
0-1
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
31.1
32.0
9
51%
4
7
1
2
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
41%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.6
20.7
15.6
4
50%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.0
27.0
25.4
0
0%
8
2
1
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
16.9
19.5
2
20%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 32.9
16.4
5.9
9
46%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.1
16.0
25.7
7
51%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.0
15.9
16.4
12
90%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.7
14.2
0
1-1
54%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 24.9
7.2
0
1-2
48%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.8
5.6
0
1-1
51%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.6
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.