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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Jazz
98
1Spurs
123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.2
30
21
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.8
29
35
18
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.8
24
29
10
7
2
1
1
1
0
4
3
2-3
67%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.6
24
18
7
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
38%
1-2
50%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.2
21
33
9
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.7
25
11
7
2
1
3
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.1
24
28
21
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
9-14
3-8
64%
41%
1-3
33%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.2
24
9
8
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.3
22
15
8
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
18
27
4
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.5
10
0
2-4
49%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.5
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
26
23
18
8
6
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
8-13
3-6
62%
51%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
25
17
14
13
4
1
0
0
1
2
11
0-0
-
7-8
3-5
88%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
23
32
15
4
3
2
2
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
23
23
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
11
21
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
25
12
10
0
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
23
19
14
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
19
8
13
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
6-9
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
19
6
13
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
3-6
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
56%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
17
14
13
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
16
21
2
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
7
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.