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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 7, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Hawks76%108126
3076ers24%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.9
24.9
34.1
18
71%
6
4
2
2
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
52%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.5
24.9
29.4
22
67%
6
4
2
1
1
3
0
6
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
3-8
38%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
24.5
31.3
18
68%
9
3
3
1
3
0
5
4
3-3
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
55%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.6
21.7
26.4
7
50%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.8
20.8
30.2
5
50%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.5
23.1
14.7
11
46%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
4-6
2-3
67%
55%
1-5
20%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
22.4
21.9
6
68%
5
4
3
1
1
0
0
5
0-1
0%
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.3
18.9
16.8
14
89%
4
6
2
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
18.7
9.0
8
67%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.0
14.3
11.0
4
41%
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
9.2
3.0
1
17%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
9.2
3.0
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.7
7.3
8.0
8
80%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.8
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.5
27.3
26.0
12
60%
1
7
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
4-10
60%
42%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.1
26.5
19.9
21
59%
7
0
1
0
1
3
3
4
3-4
75%
9-16
5-10
56%
48%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.8
24.2
16.1
4
30%
6
3
1
0
0
2
3
3
4-6
67%
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
23.9
26.9
9
51%
13
2
2
1
1
4
6
7
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
23.9
25.2
9
57%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.8
21.9
15.7
9
64%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
21.2
24.1
11
57%
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-6
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.6
16.1
18.0
5
43%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-3
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
14.7
13.8
4
40%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
13.3
15.1
8
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
11.4
7.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
9.3
16.9
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.3
6.4
14.4
6
55%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.8
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.