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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 7, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics44%10392
12Bulls56%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
39.1
33.8
17
42%
4
4
3
2
1
0
3
1
4-7
57%
5-13
3-6
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
37.2
33.5
10
39%
5
6
4
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
33.0
33.4
14
36%
2
1
2
1
0
4
1
1
4-5
80%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
0-4
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
32.5
26.5
16
54%
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
7
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
21.8
27.6
12
75%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
4-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
29.6
23.5
10
42%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
2-6
33%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
25.4
17.7
13
44%
11
2
0
0
1
1
4
7
3-4
75%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
9.2
6.5
0
0%
7
0
0
0
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.9
8.1
13.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
4.2
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
22.1
1
2-5
46%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.2
7.2
0
0-1
44%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
6.0
0
1-2
49%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.5
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
38.6
37.2
19
53%
5
10
1
2
1
3
0
5
8-9
89%
4-11
6-13
36%
49%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.5
34.7
32.2
17
43%
18
4
0
0
1
3
5
13
1-2
50%
8-18
6-13
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.3
34.5
22.4
18
56%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
9-15
4-9
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
27.6
32.4
10
56%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.9
27.2
26.5
11
47%
8
1
1
1
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.9
23.5
20.8
4
22%
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
20.2
13.4
9
56%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.2
20.1
19.4
10
73%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
13.6
15.2
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.0
14.0
0
2-4
44%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.9
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.9
7.9
0
1-2
46%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.5
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.