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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 8, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pacers51%10691
17Pelicans49%10586
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
35.2
28.0
7
35%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-7
3-5
14%
51%
1-2
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.2
33.6
33.6
10
45%
4
8
1
2
1
6
1
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
32.1
34.6
13
40%
7
4
3
2
0
4
0
7
6-7
86%
2-6
4-10
33%
46%
1-7
14%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.2
24.5
23.4
17
62%
10
1
0
1
4
1
4
6
3-4
75%
7-12
3-5
58%
55%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
19.6
23.5
7
90%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
28.4
25.6
8
44%
7
4
0
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
28.3
18.2
15
63%
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
3-8
38%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
14.7
7.7
5
36%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.5
12.9
15.8
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
4
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
10.7
11.1
5
64%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
10.4
0
1-2
46%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.6
8.8
0
1-2
48%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.3
38.3
29.2
27
65%
7
5
4
1
0
4
0
7
4-4
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
35.6
27.8
8
34%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-6
17%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
26.3
10.3
4
40%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
15.9
18.6
1
27%
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.8
3.4
39.5
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
9-18
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
36.6
27.7
21
56%
6
2
3
1
2
3
3
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
4-10
40%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
35.3
27.9
15
51%
0
4
4
1
2
3
0
0
4-6
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.7
25.8
4.4
4
29%
12
3
5
0
1
1
3
9
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
22.8
28.5
4
20%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-7
3-8
14%
45%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.6
0.1
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.8
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.2
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.