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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 8, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks58%10595
27Bucks42%10296
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
39
23
12
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
3-9
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.6
36
31
20
9
0
1
1
1
2
2
7
4-4
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
50%
4-10
40%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
32
21
9
15
3
1
1
0
0
8
7
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
24
27
5
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
21
28
3
3
3
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-5
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
23
29
9
1
4
1
1
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
19
17
19
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
3-7
43%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
19
25
8
2
5
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
11
14
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
8
17
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
3
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
10
0
1-2
56%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
41
33
15
12
8
5
2
1
3
2
10
5-8
63%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.4
39
35
27
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-9
78%
10-17
4-9
59%
47%
0-1
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.1
33
32
5
5
1
1
1
1
3
1
4
1-4
25%
2-8
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
30
31
10
2
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
28
27
9
12
0
1
1
0
3
7
5
3-5
60%
3-10
6-11
30%
51%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
35
20
11
5
6
1
1
1
3
2
3
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-5
60%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.0
20
17
16
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
8-9
3-5
89%
56%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.4
14
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.6
12
0
2-3
46%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.4
4
0
0-1
52%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.4
3
0
0-1
44%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.8
2
0
0-0
46%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.6
1
0
0-0
46%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.0
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.