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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 9, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat47%9783
19Jazz53%9898
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
35
34
24
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-1
0%
9-10
5-10
90%
50%
2-6
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
33
28
5
3
3
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
33
30
8
5
4
1
1
0
4
3
2
2-5
40%
3-17
7-14
18%
49%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
31
25
10
11
0
1
0
4
1
5
6
2-6
33%
4-8
4-7
50%
58%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
28
33
16
1
0
1
1
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
34
27
13
6
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-6
17%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
20
22
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
20
8
5
4
4
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
6
9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
21
1
2-4
48%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
3
0
0-1
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
2
0
0-0
45%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.8
37
34
34
4
1
0
1
0
8
1
3
4-10
40%
12-16
4-8
75%
47%
2-6
33%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.6
33
21
13
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.2
32
27
3
10
0
3
0
0
1
0
10
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.7
31
17
14
4
3
2
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
28
12
9
5
4
1
0
4
1
3
2
3-4
75%
3-3
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.3
24
19
6
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.8
20
23
8
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.2
19
25
11
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
16
24
0
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.2
26
1
2-5
48%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.2
10
0
1-2
51%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.5
9
0
2-4
53%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.5
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.