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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 10, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers89%11195
3076ers11%9485
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
37
30
10
10
1
0
1
0
0
7
3
6-8
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.3
37
30
15
15
6
2
1
0
3
4
11
4-7
57%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
1-4
25%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
37
33
37
7
9
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-6
67%
12-17
8-13
71%
56%
3-5
60%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
34
24
14
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
4-12
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
31
28
8
5
2
2
1
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
50%
1-6
17%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
25
25
4
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.5
17
28
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
13
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
9
16
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
6
0
0-0
42%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
4
0
1-1
47%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
3
0
0-1
53%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.5
38
29
18
7
10
1
1
0
5
1
6
3-3
100%
6-20
5-11
30%
41%
1-1
100%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
35
28
12
9
3
1
1
3
1
2
7
2-4
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.1
32
27
21
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
3-5
60%
9-15
6-13
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
30
22
6
8
2
1
1
1
2
2
6
0-5
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
22
24
6
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
2-4
50%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
32
12
7
8
4
0
1
1
4
0
8
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
1-5
20%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.8
26
24
8
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
2-3
67%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
10
14
4
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.3
9
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.8
6
18
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.6
14
0
1-2
38%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
9
0
1-2
52%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
6
0
0-1
42%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.